Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031891 0.034841 0.037810 0.041019 0.044381 0.047795 0.051517
2025-12-21 0.027541 0.031942 0.036521 0.041616 0.047105 0.052818 0.059193
2025-12-28 0.023166 0.028480 0.034183 0.040703 0.047898 0.055547 0.064247
2026-01-04 0.020329 0.026359 0.033013 0.040799 0.049565 0.059046 0.069993
2026-01-11 0.018317 0.024939 0.032430 0.041374 0.051618 0.062853 0.075983
2026-01-18 0.016596 0.023680 0.031884 0.041862 0.053463 0.066344 0.081554
2026-01-25 0.014058 0.021226 0.029762 0.040365 0.052902 0.067011 0.083859
2026-02-01 0.012376 0.019685 0.028609 0.039898 0.053440 0.068852 0.087425
2026-02-08 0.011044 0.018476 0.027768 0.039726 0.054257 0.070959 0.091249
2026-02-15 0.010466 0.018205 0.028057 0.040894 0.056642 0.074871 0.097143
2026-02-22 0.009824 0.017792 0.028123 0.041757 0.058634 0.078308 0.102476
2026-03-01 0.009076 0.017172 0.027879 0.042194 0.060085 0.081087 0.107029
2026-03-08 0.008217 0.016355 0.027360 0.042289 0.061140 0.083438 0.111144
2026-03-15 0.007771 0.016108 0.027582 0.043319 0.063348 0.087172 0.116905
2026-03-22 0.006751 0.014917 0.026466 0.042575 0.063317 0.088196 0.119441
2026-03-29 0.006130 0.014290 0.026087 0.042762 0.064430 0.090584 0.123592
2026-04-05 0.005703 0.013932 0.026059 0.043395 0.066090 0.093630 0.128523
2026-04-12 0.005278 0.013542 0.025960 0.043915 0.067596 0.096481 0.133219
2026-04-19 0.004335 0.012177 0.024384 0.042384 0.066429 0.096015 0.133890
2026-04-26 0.003758 0.011387 0.023608 0.041907 0.066594 0.097171 0.136505
2026-05-03 0.003306 0.010778 0.023068 0.041732 0.067131 0.098775 0.139656
2026-05-10 0.003194 0.010811 0.023513 0.042935 0.069480 0.102647 0.145582
2026-05-17 0.003022 0.010710 0.023738 0.043822 0.071411 0.105995 0.150872